2017年10月18日星期三

China's 096 nuclear submarine will bring the most dangerous nuclear threat

China's 096 nuclear submarine will bring the most dangerous nuclear threat

Welcome to "Shi Jiang Yue Defense Watch"

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With proper deployment, any more modern submarine can use nuclear missiles to attack the United States. 096 type strategic nuclear submarine from the coastal areas of China's safe area, of course, by virtue of "waves -3" submarine-launched ballistic missiles attack the United States.

In the case of

China 's New Strategic Nuclear Submarine Model

The Pentagon now believes that China will build a total of about 8 ballistic missile submarines (SSBN), this way, the PLA Navy to maintain a number of strategic nuclear submarines, to achieve continuous patrol. However, this depends to a large extent on whether China will shift the overall nuclear posture from the minimum deterrent to the "second strike" of active pursuit of security.

China's strategic nuclear submarine will soon become a major concern in the United States. How will it change the balance of power in the Pacific?

US "National Interest" magazine reported that in 1981, China completed the first strategic nuclear submarine -092 "summer" level. However, the submarine did not begin service until 1987, and it was said that deterrence patrol had never been carried out. The submarine represents China's limited submarine construction capacity of victory, but did not form a meaningful deterrent.

In the case of

094 strategic nuclear submarine

China's second effort is to build 094 strategic nuclear submarines, which formed a group of more effective strategic nuclear submarines. 094 nuclear submarine displacement of about 11,000 tons, can carry 12 waves - 2 submarine-launched ballistic missiles, nuclear warheads can be projected to about 7500 km away.

American scholars believe that the waves on the missile can carry more than the warheads of different reports, but in view of China's progress in this area, these 094 nuclear submarines and future strategic nuclear submarines are likely to carry this in the future missile. So far, China has built four 094 nuclear submarines, which is the minimum necessary for sustained deterrent patrols.

The next step is 096 type "Tang" class strategic nuclear submarine. There are many reports on the design parameters and expected deployment date of the 096 "Tang" class strategic nuclear submarines, and there are also very different. 096 "Tang" strategic nuclear submarine will undoubtedly larger in size and displacement, underwater noise smaller, more quiet, and can carry more missiles, these missiles can carry more warheads. 096 is expected to be able to carry 24 waves -3 submarine-launched missiles, a range of about 10,000 km.

In the case of

092 type strategic nuclear submarine is actually not really deployed, and has been retired. People's Liberation Army Navy has been using the 094-type strategic nuclear submarines for a wide range of exercises, after the US media have revealed 094 nuclear submarines have been patrolling in 2015. The PLA Navy has provided a wide range of infrastructure for these submarines.

However, under the conditions of high-intensity conflict, 094-type strategic nuclear submarines can not operate independently. The US National Interests magazine reported that these nuclear submarines were much weaker than the Soviet strategic nuclear submarines of the 1970s and made it easy to make them "prey" of US attack submarines.

In the case of

In view of this disadvantage, American scholars believe that China seems likely to use the Soviet Union during the Cold War deployment of strategic nuclear submarine policy - "fortress" strategy. The Soviet Union adopted the "edge of the fort" strategy, because of fear of its strategic nuclear submarine viability, and because of the United States, "beheaded" the first blow to the heart did not end.

China's strategic nuclear submarines in the viability is still less than the late Cold War former nuclear submarines, China is more vulnerable than the Soviet Union by pre-emptive nuclear strike. Therefore, the "fortress" strategy may be meaningful. However, the PLA Navy needs to accelerate the development of its anti-submarine warfare capabilities in order to pose a real threat to US submarines.

On the one hand, the noise of China's strategic nuclear submarines makes it easy to be found by US attack submarines; on the other hand, unsafe nuclear deterrence is not a good sign of crisis stability. As some Western defense experts say, the larger noise of the strategic nuclear submarine for the attack submarine provides a tempting goal. In a war, the United States (or Japan, or India) may use this factor to work together to destroy China's nuclear submarines. This was the strategy that the US Navy envisioned in the 1970s and 1980s; attacked the "fortress" when patrolling the Soviet strategic nuclear submarine.

In the case of

US submarine launched "Tomahawk" cruise missiles

Although the sinking strategic nuclear submarine seems attractive, but the Western scholars worry that this will allow the conflict to upgrade to the point where it can not be packed.

In reality, the expansion of China's submarine nuclear deterrent power does not have much impact on the United States. As in the case of the Soviet Union, Russia is also the case, and China has good reason to avoid launching submarine-launched ballistic missiles. The decision to invest in strategic nuclear submarine fleets is likely to be out of concern about the "nuclear goal first", the root of this idea is that the United States can decisively destroy China's nuclear forces on the ground. The deployment of more strategic nuclear submarines, no doubt China's second strike deterrence more secure.

However, the United States of America Kentucky University scholar Robert Farley that, as the world's most powerful navy found that the strategic nuclear submarine in fact, "both evil." They devouude a lot of money and resources at every stage of the design and development, and have little reward in running value.

In the case of

"Ohio" level

The US Navy has been on the introduction of a new generation of strategic nuclear submarines to replace the "Ohio" level is not too positive, although this is not without controversy. Britain's ability to replace its existing strategic nuclear submarine fleet is an open political topic. Even the Russians are slow to replace their aging strategic nuclear submarines, and the Russian Navy's strategic nuclear submarines are still dominated by the late Cold War. In addition, the cost of the "bastard" strategy is particularly costly because they must deploy supportive support forces in their neighborhood.

The more interesting issue came from the future for some time since China tried to catch the US (and Russia) submarine mute technology. If the future People's Liberation Army Navy strategic nuclear submarine can have enough covert action capability, independent deployment patrol, then China's deterrence strategy may be closer to the US model, rather than the Soviet model. This will release the water and underwater submarine forces so that they can join other jobs.

Robert Farley believes that, in any case, the existence of more China's strategic nuclear submarines will increase the management of the issue of "waves." If China and the United States have a war, the problem will arise. But do not worry too much because the most likely is that China's strategic nuclear submarines will do the same thing in other strategic nuclear submarines in their service life - hiding in the depths of the sea, waiting for an order that may never come.

1 条评论:

  1. Completes Deployment of Six Type- 096 Nuclear Submarine with JL-3 SLBMs .
    Type-096 Qin class nuclear-submarine began to be formally commissioned in July 2008. It carries 24 JL-3 SLBMs with a range of 15,000 km and MIRVs.
    JL-3 SLBM is the submarine version of DF-41 land-based ICBM.
    DF-41 can have 10 MIRVs but JL-3 seems to carry less MIRVs as the report says the 24 SLBMs can hit at lease 64 targets simultaneously.

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