2017年4月30日星期日

Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worthless

Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worthless

Domestic aircraft carrier value worth it?
Talk about the aircraft carrier, in addition to performance, weapons and carrier-based aircraft, the majority of military fans are most concerned about the cost of the aircraft carrier. Carrier is today's various types of weapons and equipment in the well-deserved suction gold beast, staggering huge investment, in addition to the symbolic effect as a big power, for a deeper level from the perspective of national interests to analyze whether it is worth it?
Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worth it?
Figure 1: Carrier as the core of the fleet is the world's most expensive military equipment
Carrier can not only be an aircraft carrier
If you want to calculate the cost and investment of the aircraft carrier, the aircraft carrier on the aircraft carrier, only calculate the cost of an aircraft carrier is clearly not comprehensive. Because, only for the aircraft carrier, in addition to the aircraft carrier's own construction costs, but also to calculate the aircraft carrier system cost of various systems and carrier-based aircraft prices, of course, once the aircraft carrier put into use, personnel costs, fuel consumption, spare parts maintenance and updates , The use of carrier-based aircraft loss ... ... Therefore, to calculate the economic accounts for the carrier, it is not simply calculate the construction costs. More scientific method is the aircraft carrier's "life cycle cost", an aircraft carrier's service life of about 50 years, can be divided into design and R & D costs, construction costs, daily operations and maintenance costs and the final four costs , The use of the carrier for 50 years, these four parts together to form the aircraft carrier's "life cycle costs."
For the time being, do not consider the final scrap costs, the general estimate of the development, construction and routine maintenance costs. Taking the first domestic aircraft carrier 001A as an example, the construction cost is estimated at about 25 billion yuan, which is about one-tenth of the construction cost, and the daily operating and maintenance costs of the year. About one-eighth of the construction cost, resulting in the development of 2.5 billion, construction costs of 25 billion, annual operations and maintenance costs of 3 billion, 50 years of life-cycle costs totaling about 17.55 billion, and then distributed to each year, About 3.55 billion.
Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worth it?
Figure 2: Calculate the cost of the aircraft carrier, can not only calculate the construction costs
Second, an aircraft carrier alone is unable to undertake combat missions, but also for the aircraft carrier procurement carrier-based aircraft, equipped with the necessary other ships, the aircraft carrier fleet in order to play the true value of the aircraft carrier to play, so when calculating the cost of the aircraft carrier , Must also be carrier aircraft and aircraft carrier fleet in the other ships are also included.
The carrier-based aircraft is estimated on the basis of 24 fixed wings and 10 helicopters, with a total cost of approximately $ 8 billion for all carrier-based aircraft, an annual operating and maintenance cost of approximately $ 800 million, and a 50-year total life-cycle cost of carrier-based aircraft 48 billion, and then spread to the annual, about 960 million.
Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worth it?
Figure 3: Carrier costs are also included
According to the minimum configuration of the carrier fleet, at least two destroyers, four frigates, a submarine and a supply ship, ideally, it is best to add two destroyers, to 4 drive 4 protection standards. According to the practice, the aircraft carrier fleet of other ships construction costs basically equivalent to the aircraft carrier construction costs, so the aircraft carrier fleet other construction costs about 25 billion yuan, annual operating and maintenance costs 3 billion, 50 years of life cycle costs total about 175 billion , Spread to an annual, about 3.5 billion.
Since the carrier and the fleet of other ships are not designed specifically for the aircraft carrier, the development costs of the carrier and other ships are not included in the total cost of the life cycle.
As mentioned above, the entire 50-year life cycle cost of a carrier fleet is about 400 billion, to an annual average of about 80 billion yuan.
Can the cost of the carrier be affordable?
Then the annual 8 billion yuan of aircraft carrier fleet costs to China's economic strength, can afford it? According to 2015 statistics, China's total GDP is about 62 trillion yuan. China's military spending According to the data released in 2017, the military budget in 2017 will exceed 1 trillion yuan, which is equivalent to the annual military expenditure of 0.08%, GDP total 0.0012, from this point of view, should be completely acceptable.
Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worth it?
Figure 4: China's military expenditure over the years
However, only one aircraft carrier fleet is unable to form a continuous uninterrupted combat effectiveness. According to the experience of the US Navy aircraft carrier, in order to ensure that a carrier fleet is always in combat cruise, you must have at least three aircraft carriers, an aircraft carrier on duty, an aircraft carrier in the port overhaul maintenance, there is a The aircraft carrier travels between the sea and the port. Since already have the aircraft carrier, in the case of conditions permit, of course, do not want the aircraft carrier fleet on duty at sea, so in order to ensure the aircraft carrier fleet continued uninterrupted combat effectiveness, at least to build three aircraft carriers. But the three aircraft carrier is only the theoretical minimum value, as a carrier has just started the country, but also a large number of aircraft carrier professional training and maintenance of the use of aircraft carriers, so a major used to test and training aircraft carrier Is indispensable, and now the Liaoning aircraft carrier is responsible for this mission. Therefore, the minimum number of aircraft carrier equipment at least four.
If you want to build two aircraft carrier fleet plus four aircraft carriers, the total cost of about 1.5 trillion, an average of about 30 billion per year, equivalent to 3% of annual military spending, GDP total 0.048% from the proportion of military fees, Seems to be some high.
And then the US carrier to compare the United States to the United States in 2015, the total GDP of China is about 1.7 times, military spending is about 4 times that of China. Aircraft carrier, China is an aircraft carrier in service another one aircraft carrier under construction, while the United States is 11 aircraft carrier in service another one under construction, a full six times in China! Far more than the proportion of GDP and military spending. Taking into account the US aircraft carriers are also 100,000 tons of nuclear power large aircraft carrier, the relevant costs to be higher, the number of US aircraft carriers and military spending ratio, China to maintain two aircraft carrier fleet plus four aircraft carriers should not be too much problem The
Life-saving cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worth it?
Figure 5: the United States to maintain active 11 aircraft carriers under construction in a scale
Is such a huge investment worth it?
There is no doubt that the aircraft carrier, carrier aircraft and its entire carrier fleet is the world's most expensive equipment, whether it is the cost of construction or daily operations and maintenance costs are staggering astronomical, so huge investment in the end what is the use of it The
First of all, the carrier is a symbol of the strength of the great powers. The United Nations five permanent members are now all have the aircraft carrier, in addition to the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Russia, whether it is the total economic or military spending, and now have less than China, they can have aircraft carriers, how can China not?
Second, the aircraft carrier for the maintenance of the country's core interests, especially marine rights, has an irreplaceable role. China's rapid economic development, foreign trade, energy imports must be through the sea shipping, so the protection of maritime shipping safety, for the national economic construction is essential, and to effectively protect the ocean shipping, if there is no aircraft carrier fleet, sure Can not do it.
, The whole life cost of 400 billion domestic aircraft carrier formation in the end worth it?
Figure 6: Carrier fleet is essential to safeguard national interests and maritime interests
Finally, for the Navy, the aircraft carrier is now a well-deserved sea warfare, aircraft carrier fleet on the other side of the air combat capability is comparable to any other ships, with "the father of the Chinese navy aircraft carrier," said Liu Huaqing, 80 years to visit the United States, boarded the US Navy's "Kitty Hawk" aircraft carrier after the visit, said with deep feeling: "no aircraft carrier is not a modern navy!" This sentence can be described as a high degree of understanding of the aircraft carrier in the naval status and Value, no aircraft carrier fleet of sea and air cover, the Navy can only retreat in the shore-based aircraft operations within the coastal activities, safeguard national sovereignty to protect the national rights and interests of the strategic mission can only be empty talk.
Therefore, for a big country, for a ride in the blue water in the sea of ​​the Navy, no aircraft carrier how can the line? It is necessary to spend more money to be invested, but also for the national interests of the inevitable cost of investment, and is worth the investment.

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