2017年3月16日星期四

If the US policy toward the DPRK is wrong, do not be wrong

If the US policy toward the DPRK is wrong, do not be wrong

US Secretary of State Tillerson's trip to East Asia has attracted public attention to the situation on the Korean Peninsula. He said in Tokyo that the United States over the past 20 years, the DPRK policy is a failure, need to adjust. Tillerson also called China "the main source of economic and political support in the DPRK" and believes that China can play an extremely important role. US and Japanese opinion have speculated that Tillerson will ask China to strengthen sanctions for North Korea "do more."
Peninsula, the situation is tight, North Korea refused to unilaterally suspend nuclear activities, the United States and South Korea did not have a new approach to complain that China's pressure on the DPRK pressure, which has become a very solid thinking. The New York Times quoted an anonymous US official as saying that if China did not help to constrain North Korea's nuclear program, the United States was ready to strengthen missile defense and further pressure on Chinese financial institutions.
CNN reports that the United States is prepared to impose fines on Chinese companies and banks that do business with North Korea.
It must be said that in the current situation, this is still a "evil first complain" tactics. "Sade" into Korea by China's severe opposition, Beijing's position will not change. Even if the Chinese side to persuade the United States, but Beijing has the ability to severely punish South Korea, which will make Washington embarrassing.
China is still on the DPRK "water", China's banks and various enterprises continue to maintain a lot of cooperation with the DPRK, which is entirely the United States of course. If the new diplomatic team of the United States sets a new policy toward the DPRK based on this misjudgment, they will only make more serious mistakes than in the past 20 years.
A basic fact is that China's opposition to the true attitude of the DPRK nuclear issue is not hesitant than the United States and South Korea. China's proximity to the peninsula, nuclear weapons in the peninsula of the test, the deployment of China's security constitutes a potentially long-term risk, as long as a way to promote Pyongyang to abandon nuclear, China has no reason not to try.
Beijing has announced that it will not import North Korea before the end of this year, which will seriously affect Pyongyang's foreign exchange sources. Beijing also announced a more stringent ban on exports to the list of goods, and nuclear research related to the development of goods, now never expect one from China into the Yalu River on the other side.
However, if the United States and South Korea asked China to "shut down" the border between China and the DPRK, it was necessary to punish all the Korean people, while the current political power of Pyongyang to death, not just to deal with North Korea nuclear activities. On this point, Beijing must not give in.
In that case, the United States and South Korea is tantamount to the entire North Korean nuclear issue outsourced to China, China has become the United States and South Korea to the DPRK strategy new full join. China and North Korea will become the "enemy", the Sino-Korean opposition will become the new main contradiction in Northeast Asia. The DPRK nuclear issue is caused by the US-DPRK opposition, and now let China help the United States and South Korea "wiping ass", carry all the responsibility, once the DPRK chaos, China has become the first wave was affected, sorry, the United States and South Korea did not ask China s right.
Also, North Korea has been extremely isolated, it is isolated in the moment the world is unique. However, Pyongyang did not yield, even if there is no one with it from China, will it yield to it? Ask Washington to remember, which history has ever been used to overwhelm the regime which regime?
In the final analysis, or the United States and South Korea's strategy is too lack of flexibility, and would rather adhere to the wrong approach, do not want to carry out new attempts. Tilleson said that the past 20 years of the US policy toward the DPRK are wrong, then that 20 years the United States toward the policy of the main tone of what is it? Are sanctions and threats, not anything else. If only in the degree of sanctions and threats on the code, as if the towel in the hard to twist the last drop of water, which is correct mistakes?
China has never been involved in the DPRK sanctions, to participate in the development and resolute implementation of the sanctions against the DPRK, our changes in the span and the United States and South Korea to change the span of who is greater, is not it clear! Washington even "double suspension" "double track" Are willing to do, its policy toward the degree of rigidity too disappointing.
The United States and South Korea are clearly not on the DPRK nuclear issue "absolutely right" side, even from a strategic point of view, "double suspension" and "double track" is also worth a try. The United States and South Korea are afraid of North Korea "lost majesty" it? They are so much power, but also need to "majestic" always end it? Think of reflection and reflection.

没有评论:

发表评论